Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000017
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000034
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000038
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000043
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000050
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000058
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000068
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000079
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000092
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000034 0.000103
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000036 0.000119
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000039 0.000139
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000041 0.000153
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000043 0.000175
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000045 0.000191
2025-10-05 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000048 0.000221